AFL round 16
Crows v Bulldogs
Crows -23.5 ✅
Both sides are not impressing right now but back in Adelaide and with the shit going on at the kennel the crows needing the win can see them opening the Dogs up in the second half. The Dogs are the worst goal kicking side in the game the crows in the top couple if the trend continues the goal kicking alone will be enough to cover the line.
Dogs first to 6 behinds $2.75 ✅risk play here
If the crows get hold of the dogs early this is gone but with the dogs bad goal kicking this price is overs.
Dogs total behinds over 8.5 $1.72 ✅
In theory they will get this easy.
AFL Round 16
Saints v Tigers
Saints over 9.5 behinds $2
Like this play saints are one of the worst teams in the AFL for goal kicking accuracy. They average over 14 behinds a game this season last 3 rounds alone 17,19,17. The total here seems fishy it’s too low for the saints but it’s too good to pass up. The Tigers games have been low scoring in general and the risk is the saints won’t get enough of the ball to score. Back at Etihad the saints are a handy side and showed last week they can play some solid footy. Odds have dropped a little on this already and think it will move a little further still.
Bets found on 365
Afl round 16
Carlton v Melbourne
Carlton under 10.5 behinds $2.05
5 of their last 7 they have been under this total and 9/14 for the year the Blues are not pretty to watch but they keep it tight and low scoring as underdogs for the game I can’t understand the odds n numbers here.
Time of first goal after 3 minutes $1.85
Is a bit of a 50/50 play in 8/14 for Carlton and 9/14 for the dees the first goal has come after the 3 minute mark. With these 2 sides pretty solid defensively hoping for a bit of bung fight for first couple minutes.