Three Sunday games and all three look like they will should be easy wins. However as we see every week with AFL, there can always be a couple of upsets.
Geelong vs North Melbourne
After watching both sides last week we expect the Cats to win, but don’t expect a 10 goal thumping. Cats where dominant last week against Freo and North fell in a hole against the Eagles. It looks like it should be a one sided affair but don’t expect the Cats to get it all their way, North where terrible in front of goal last week – Waite especially kicking 7 points and at crucial times. If he hits even half of these the game changes dramatically. The Cats have come back from Freo and even though they had a relatively easy win it is always hard to come back from the W.A. road trip. Cats have a elite midfield with last years Brownlow medalist Dangerfield and Selwood and while the Roos are very serviceable – will find it very hard to contain the Cats. Up forward for North its one two things with Waite out, 1. Does it make scoring easier as they are no longer one dimensional or 2. Does it make scoring harder without their focal point. We’re leaning the first option, we think it makes them harder to match up and could create a couple of headaches for the Cats early. Defences of both sides are pretty solid without having any real superstars; Geelong do have an edge here with Mackie and Henderson. If the game was at Skilled Stadium we would expect the Cats to win by 10 goals but with it being at Etihad, the cats are on the road again albeit a drive into Melbourne. Expect the Cats to win but expect a high scoring fast pace from the Roos early and it to take the Cats a quarter or two to get the momentum rolling.
Prediction: Cats win by 32 points
#puntr Bet: Quarter Time; North +6.5 $1.90; Dangerfield 30 possesions Hawkins 3 goals Double $3.30
Melbourne vs Carlton
To believe or not to believe – that is the question
Do we believe the hype around the Dee’s – are they really on the up? The simple answer is yes, last weeks win against the Saints was a huge step. Beating them for the first time in 10 years and winning for only the second time in 26 starts at Etihad. Carlton looked every bit the team we expected last week and yes they may win a game or two this season but they are pretty much at rock bottom this year, they are Melbourne of five years ago and have a long long long way to go. Carlton do have some good young mids and will show glimpses of brilliance but across the ground, Melbourne have them covered. Melbourne put the Saints to the sword last week and that form gets franked with the saints very impressive performance last night against the highly fancied Eagles. Melbourne will not falter and will learn from last weeks slow start. Big Max Gawn will give Melbourne first use of the ball all game. Last week will give them all the confidence they need to tear Carlton apart. Its hard to find much kind to say about the Blues – Gibbs, Simpson, Murphy and Cripps are all outstanding on ballers but this is not enough. They will need these four to play the most exceptional games each week to have any chance of winning games and hope that the other players can somehow grow another leg! For the Demons today they should be aiming for how far and for us to keep believing the hype they need to not take the foot off today.
Prediction: Melbourne by 48 points
#puntr Bet: Melbourne -24.5 $1.90
Port Adelaide vs Fremantle
Last game of the round and we wouldn’t be expecting anything other than a Power win. Freo where disappointing last week against the Cats and thought that they would have shown a hell of a lot more. We’re not prepared to write them off yet but Sandilands, Fyfe, Mundy and co will need to really lift – but we just can’t find any other real winners around the ground for them. Power where so impressive last week against the Swans and again that form has been franked on Friday night by the Dogs beating the Swans. This is the Power of old from a couple years ago that got oh-so-close to making a Grand Final. They look exciting and very skillful players like Wingard seem to have found their spark again; add to it the return of Paddy Ryder and the Power look like they will make their way up the ladder very fast this season, to do this they need to put sides like Freo away and should have every opportunity to do it today at home. Its hard to believe this is the same Power side from last year and think that we may have just assumed the Dockers would rise again with the return of their key players. Port are a strong side and have the running power to run out games better than most.
Prediction: Power by 42 points
#puntr Bet: Port -26.5 $1.90; Port lead at every quarter $1.80